Multiple Chronic Conditions in Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: Prevalence and Consequences
Pei-Jung Lin, PhD; David M. Kent, MD, MSc; Aaron Winn, MPP; Joshua T. Cohen, PhD; and Peter J. Neumann, ScD
Most adults with diabetes have at least 1 coexisting chronic condition,1
and approximately 40% have 3 or more.2
As the number of comorbidities increases, the risks of poor patient outcomes (eg, unnecessary hospitalizations, adverse drug events, mortality) and healthcare costs also increase.2-6
Further, the types of comorbidities impact diabetes care.7,8
In a retrospective cohort study of 42,826 veterans with new-onset diabetes, individuals with “concordant conditions” (illnesses that overlap with diabetes in their pathogenesis or management plans; eg, hypertension and coronary artery disease) were more likely to receive recommended diabetes care, including glycated hemoglobin (A1C) testing, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) testing, and diabetes-related visits, compared with individuals with no concordant comorbidities.9
In contrast, “discordant conditions” (illness with unrelated pathogenesis or management plans [eg, musculoskeletal diseases]) were associated with decreased diabetes care.9
Although previous studies have shown that the type and severity of comorbidities matter, not just the number of conditions,7-13
less attention has been paid to multiple chronic comorbidities (MCCs) and how they impact diabetes care. Patients with MCCs constitute a majority of the diabetes population, and are known to require high levels of healthcare and to account for a significant proportion of healthcare costs.2,14-16
However, it is unclear which MCC clusters in diabetes are most prevalent, or how MCC patterns vary by age.
To address these gaps, this study sought to identify specific MCC combinations associated with high morbidity. Unlike previous research that focused on 2-way17,18
combinations between and among comorbidities, this is the first study to our knowledge to examine a large number of the most common MCC combinations for diabetes and to compare these clusters in younger and older patients. Additionally, most diabetes outcomes research that considered MCCs focused on the impact on disease-specific measures (eg, A1C, cholesterol, blood pressure [BP]), but ignored how MCCs affect broader health outcomes. This study identified specific comorbidity profiles associated with emergency department (ED) visits and 30-day hospital readmissions in addition to diabetes-specific outcomes.
This fresh look at comorbidities is important for 2 reasons. First, MCC outcomes exhibit substantial heterogeneity. Focusing on a limited set of “pairs” (or “triplets”) misses many combinations, including those consisting of more than 3 conditions. Second, to date, disease-focused guidelines (including those for diabetes) tend to underplay MCCs, and more importantly, do not describe how comorbidities may affect treatment plans and patient outcomes.15,19-21
Our analysis of mutually exclusive clusters may suggest a more useful set of patient subgroup definitions for use in clinical guidelines.
Data and Sample
We used the 2008 to 2012 data sets from the healthcare
informatics company Optum Humedica (www.humedica.com
), which link de-identified electronic health records (EHRs), encounter files, prescribed medications, and lab values to provide clinical details typically not available in administrative claims files. These data files were supplied by US providers, including ambulatory groups, hospital systems, and integrated delivery networks (IDNs). Information for services acquired from outside of Humedica’s provider networks was not available.
From the 2008 to 2012 Humedica data sets (n = 7,247,143), we retained “integrated patients” (n = 4,025,581), defined as those with both ambulatory and institutional data available from IDN providers (Figure 1
). After excluding individuals younger than 18 years (n = 655,638), we identified 398,377 subjects with any evidence of diabetes, including: type 1 (n = 12,778), type 2 (n = 212,160), prediabetes (International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification
] = 790.2X for “abnormal glucose”; n = 60,563), other diabetes (eg, gestational diabetes and secondary diabetes, n = 7249), and individuals with an unknown diabetes type (n = 105,627). Unknown type was defined as subjects who had lab evidence of diabetes or received medications for diabetes, but no diabetes diagnosis or abnormal glucose diagnosis.
Our analysis focused on patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and therefore excluded individuals with type 1, prediabetes, and other diabetes. We classified subjects as having T2DM if they had any ICD-9-CM
diagnosis codes of 250.X0 or 250.X2 on their ambulatory evaluation and management and/or procedure encounters (n = 212,160). Patients without a last visit at least 2 years apart from their first visit were excluded (n = 50,986). Finally, our analytic sample included 161,174 patients with T2DM with at least 24 months of data available to ensure that they maintained contact with the provider networks. In sensitivity analyses, we included patients with less than 24 months of data and patients with an unknown type of diabetes to examine the robustness of our results.
Comorbidities of Interest
We derived a list of comorbidities of interest by reviewing previous studies8,18,22,23
and the 2012 American Diabetes Association (ADA) guidelines,24
and identified the following conditions that have been determined to be important—clinically or economically—for adults with T2DM: hyperlipidemia, hypertension, obesity, depression, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD)/asthma, coronary artery disease (CAD), chronic kidney disease (CKD), arthritis, cancers, neuropathy, heart failure, fractures, peripheral arterial disease, and retinopathy. We identified individuals with these conditions by using the Clinical Classifications Software, a tool developed at the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality for clustering ICD-9-CM
diagnosis codes of conditions into clinically meaningful categories.19,25
We also used prescription records, lab values, and vital signs data to identify certain comorbidities in order to minimize potential underdiagnosis and undercoding. Specifically, individuals were classified as having hypertension if they had 2 or more BP readings on different days in which their diastolic BP reading was over 80, if their systolic BP was over 130 during the study period, or if they received any antihypertensive medications (see eAppendix
[available at www.ajmc.com
] for list of drugs). Individuals were classified as having hyperlipidemia if they had 2 or more readings on different days in which their total cholesterol levels were over 200, LDL-C levels were over 130, triglyceride levels were over 150, or highdensity lipoprotein cholesterol levels were under 60; or if they received any lipid-lowering medications (eAppendix). Finally, individuals were classified as obese if they had at least 1 obesity diagnosis (ICD-9-CM
= 278.XX) or had a body mass index of ≥30 kg/m2.24
Patient Outcome Measures
We assessed 2 guideline-recommended diabetes care measures and 2 broader health outcomes. Diabetes care measures included a diabetes-related face-to-face visit at least once every 6 months and the attainment of A1C <8%—the treatment goal. These measures were chosen based on the 2012 ADA guidelines24
and the Diabetes Quality Improvement Project.9,26
We used each patient’s last A1C test results in primary analysis and each patient’s average A1C values in sensitivity analysis. The analysis of A1C was limited to a subset of 135,357 diabetes patients with available glucose data (84% of the overall sample). For broader health outcomes, we assessed all-cause ED visits and all-cause 30-day hospital readmissions during a year because these measures may signal poor patient outcomes. Readmissions were defined as inpatient hospital admissions that occurred within 30 days of discharge from a previous hospital admission. The analysis of 30-day readmissions was limited to a subset of 21,765 patients with at least 1 admission to the hospital (13.5% of the sample).
We constructed a 2-year panel of 161,174 adults with T2DM, examined their comorbidity profiles and patient characteristics at the baseline year, and analyzed the 4 patient outcomes at the subsequent year. First, we examined the prevalence rate of each comorbid condition by itself and used t tests to compare the prevalence between patients aged <65 years and patients aged ≥65 years. Second, for analysis of MCCs, we limited our attention to the most prevalent comorbidities that affected ≥5% of the sample; these were hyperlipidemia, hypertension, obesity, CAD, COPD/asthma, CKD, arthritis, depression, cancers, and heart failure. Each MCC cluster was mutually exclusive. We analyzed the frequency and clustering of MCCs, and used χ2 tests to compare overall difference in MCC prevalence rates among older and younger patients.
Using logistic regression, we examined associations between MCC clusters and the 4 binary patient outcomes: at least 1 diabetes face-to-face visit every 6 months, A1C <8%, any ED visits, and any 30-day hospital readmissions. We included binary indicators for each of the top 15 most common MCC clusters, and classified the rest of the comorbidity combinations as “other” in our regression models. We started with a parsimonious model, adjusting for age, sex, race, neighborhood income, and insurance status. The fully adjusted model incorporated 3 additional covariates: Diabetes Complications Severity Index,27
number of evaluation and management visits, and number of medications prescribed to the patient (measured as unique classes of drugs). Finally, we used the model to estimate probabilities for each patient outcome.
summarizes the characteristics of our sample. Eighty-eight percent of the patients with diabetes had at least 1 of the 14 comorbidities of interest, while 51% had 3 or more. Compared with younger adults, older adults had more comorbidities (mean = 2.3 vs 2.7, P <.001) and were more likely to have hyperlipidemia, hypertension, CAD, COPD/asthma, CKD, arthritis, cancer, and heart failure, and less likely to have obesity and depression.
Patterns of MCCs
displays the 15 most common MCC clusters, representing 75% of patients in our sample. The most common pattern was the presence of hypertension, hyperlipidemia, and obesity—roughly 1 in 5 patients (19%) had this combination. Five of the 6 most common clusters, corresponding to 51% of the sample, included some combination of hypertension, hyperlipidemia, and obesity. CAD plus hypertension and hyperlipidemia, either with or without obesity, was also common (5%). Other common clusters included the combination of hypertension-hyperlipidemia-obesity plus 1 other condition, such as COPD/asthma, arthritis, or depression.
MCCs were highly prevalent in both nonelderly and elderly patients with diabetes (Figure 2). The most common MCC clusters for both groups included hypertension, hyperlipidemia, and obesity in combination or in isolation. On the other hand, MCC clusters including obesity were far more common among younger adults: among subjects aged <65 years, the leading MCC cluster was hypertension-hyperlipidemia-obesity (23%), whereas among subjects aged ≥65 years, the most common cluster was hypertension and hyperlipidemia only (20%). Further, obesity alone was the fourth-most common MCC cluster among younger patients, whereas this cluster was seventh-most common among older patients. The higher prevalence of obesity among younger patients may reflect the fact that it is an essential risk factor for early onset T2DM.28
In addition, older patients exhibited greater MCC cluster heterogeneity: the top 10 MCC clusters accounted for 66% of older patients, compared with 78% of younger patients. Finally, 14% of younger patients had no diagnosed comorbidities, compared with 11% of older patients (P
Association Between MCCs and Diabetes Care
shows the predicted probabilities for receiving recommended diabetes care based on the fully adjusted logistic regression models. Predicted diabetes visit probabilities ranged from 18% to 52% among the 15 most common MCC clusters, and exceeded 50% for only 5 clusters: hypertension-hyperlipidemia-obesity only (52%), hypertension-hyperlipidemia-obesity plus depression (51%), arthritis (51%), CKD (51%), and hypertension-hyperlipidemia only (50%). Notably, subjects with no documented comorbidities (18%) and patients with only obesity (24%) were less likely to have a diabetes visit.
Predicted probabilities for achieving the A1C treatment goal ranged from 54% to 76% among the 15 most common MCC clusters and were most likely among patients with co-existing hypertension-hyperlipidemia plus either COPD/asthma (76%), CAD (75%), obesity and COPD/asthma (75%), or obesity and arthritis (75%) (Figure 2). Subjects with no documented comorbidities (54%) and subjects with obesity only (60%) were less likely to meet the A1C goal. Sensitivity analysis using each patient’s average A1C values instead of the patient’s last A1C test showed similar patterns (results not shown).
Association Between MCCs and ED Visits and 30-Day Hospital Readmissions
Overall, 18.2% of the diabetes sample had at least 1 ED visit. Adjusted probabilities for ED visits ranged from 13% to 22% in the top 15 MCC clusters (Figure 4
). Patients with only obesity were most likely to have ED visits (22%), followed by subjects with no comorbidities (20%). Patients with hypertension-hyperlipidemia only (13%) and hypertension-hyperlipidemia plus obesity and CKD (13%) were less likely to have ED visits.
Among the 21,765 hospitalized patients, 14.5% were readmitted within 30 days of discharge. Adjusted probabilities for readmissions were lower than probabilities for ED visits, ranging from 9% to 15% among the top 15 MCC clusters (Figure 4). Subjects with only obesity (15%) and those with no recorded comorbidities (15%) were more likely to have readmissions, as were patients with hypertension-hyperlipidemia-cancer (15%). Patients with hypertension-hyperlipidemia plus obesity and CAD were less likely to have readmissions (9%).
Our analysis of MCCs showed that 1 in 5 patients with T2DM had the combination of hypertensionhyperlipidemia-obesity and no other diagnosed comorbidities. The top 10 MCC clusters accounted for roughly 70% of all patients with T2DM. However, MCC cluster patterns exhibit substantial heterogeneity across patients and by age. Older patients more frequently had hypertension and hyperlipidemia only, whereas younger patients had hypertension and hyperlipidemia plus obesity, or had obesity and no other conditions. We also found greater MCC cluster heterogeneity among older diabetes patients, reflecting the more complex health needs of this group. In addition, patients with certain comorbidity profiles, such as those with obesity only, had poorer diabetes outcomes and more ED visits and 30-day readmissions.
MCCs are an issue of growing significance not only because of their prevalence, but because they can complicate treatment and increase disease burden and costs.15,21,29,30
Previous studies have suggested aggressive multifactorial management of hypertension-hyperlipidemia-obesity (commonly referred to as metabolic syndrome31,32
) in diabetes33,34
—the leading MCC combination in our data—but less attention has been paid to other comorbidity clusters. In applying the Piette and Kerr framework for understanding the impact of comorbidity on patients with diabetes,8
we found that diabetes-concordant comorbidities (eg, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, obesity, CAD) co-occurred more frequently than discordant (eg, COPD/asthma, arthritis) or dominant (eg, cancer) conditions. Our findings suggest that diabetes guidelines should explicitly address the cooccurrence of multiple concordant comorbidities and the co-occurrence of concordant and discordant/dominant conditions. Explicit consideration of MCC clusters is important because appropriate management of individual diseases in isolation may not be optimal for patients with MCCs.21,29
It should be noted that examining distinct MCC combinations as we have done is only feasible using very large data sets. Even the consideration of 14 comorbid conditions defined more than 16,000 subgroups (214). As a result, many of the most common clusters comprised <1% of the overall population, and many patients had completely unique MCC combinations. While combinations may have unique disease-disease, disease-treatment, and treatment-treatment interactions, the vast combinatorics suggest the need for frameworks and strong hypotheses regarding the most relevant interactions to help reduce the dimensionality of analyses addressing challenges with managing MCCs.35
Previous studies showed that certain comorbidities were associated with poor diabetes outcomes (eg, A1C control9
) and lower self-management abilities.7
Our study further demonstrated that diabetes care outcomes remained suboptimal among many types of MCC patients. For example, probabilities for having diabetes-related visits ranged from 18% to 52%, and probabilities for meeting the treatment goal for A1C ranged from 54% to 76% (depending on the MCC cluster).
We also found that many patients with diabetes had ED visits and 30-day readmissions. “Ballpark” estimates suggest that reducing ED visits and 30-day readmissions in the diabetes population could yield substantial savings nationally.36
To illustrate, costs average $2168 per ED visit37
and $9700 per hospital stay,38
and nationwide there are roughly 26 million adults with T2DM. Applying the 18.2% ED admission rate for our sample and assuming only 1 ED visit per person per year yields a national cost of roughly $10 billion annually. Similarly, the total cost of 30-day readmissions is roughly $5 billion based on our sample’s 14.5% readmission rate among hospitalized patients.
In contrast with previous studies reporting that patients with diabetes with more comorbidities had poorer outcomes,3-7
our analysis showed that subjects with obesity alone and individuals with no documented comorbidities performed more poorly across the 4 outcomes we examined. Several factors may contribute to these findings. First, our results may reflect the fact that many patients with diabetes had undiagnosed comorbidities.24,39
In fact, among patients in our sample without any documented comorbidities in the baseline year, 27.7% had at least 1 recorded comorbidity during the follow-up year. Such underlying conditions could lead to poor patient outcomes such as uncontrolled chronic illnesses,40
which could trigger more hospital use.
Second, it is possible that patients sought care from out-of-network providers and thus their healthcare utilization records were not fully captured in the Humedica data sets. We found that patients who did not have A1C values in their records were more likely to have other clinical values missing, were less likely to have any diagnosed comorbidities, and had fewer evaluation and management visits, compared with patients with an A1C value recorded. Third, patients with more diagnosed comorbidities may have more frequent contact with their physicians, which may lead to stronger provider-patient relationships, and thus higher adherence to treatment plans and better follow-up.10,41
Indeed, certain comorbidities have been found to be associated with more resource utilization and better diabetes care.9,10,18,42
Additionally, providers may be more likely to treat comorbidities in complex patients to reduce adverse outcomes, such as enrolling them in disease management programs that aim to improve overall health.10
Our analysis has several limitations. First, we may have underestimated MCC prevalence rates and care outcomes due to unavailable out-of-network utilization data. Second, patients with <24 months of data were excluded (n = 50,986); however, sensitivity analysis including such patients suggested similar results. Third, T2DM and comorbidities may have been under-identified due to coding and practice differences within and across providers that submit data to Humedica. Nevertheless, sensitivity analysis suggested that including the 105,627 patients with an unknown type of diabetes yielded similar results. For comorbidities, we attempted to capture a broader comorbidity profile by utilizing ICD-9-CM
diagnosis codes, lab data, and prescription records. Future validation study will be helpful in determining if patients classified as having “no comorbidities” in fact have any undiagnosed conditions, and whether they have more access barriers. Fourth, although the Humedica data sets contain detailed utilization and EHR data, they do not contain cost information. Future research should identify the most expensive MCC clusters in order to better target high-cost patients for disease management. Finally, future research into areas related to comorbidity management, such as medication adherence, would help explain why certain MCC clusters are associated with poorer patient outcomes and would highlight areas for quality improvement.
Despite these limitations, the current study extended prior work by using considerably more detailed and extensive information about MCCs in T2DM patients. Our findings highlighted important comorbidity clusters, such as co-existing hypertension-hyperlipidemia-obesity, that need to be addressed by diabetes guidelines and disease management programs. Our analysis also showed that many types of MCC patients had poor diabetes outcomes as well as excess ED visits and 30-day hospital readmissions. Determining specific MCC subgroups at increased risk of universal, rather than solely diabetes-specific, outcomes has important policy implications and provides targets for tailored prevention. In addition to improving clinical decisions, such information can be used to refine diabetes risk adjustment measures.3,43
The results can help guide payment reforms and improve cost prediction for diabetes patients with MCCs.
The authors thank Joseph Smith, Michael O’Grady, Paul Bleicher, Allen Kamer, Diane Throop, and Angela Tucker for helpful comments on earlier drafts of this paper.