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EMR-Based Medication Adherence Metric Markedly Enhances Identification of Nonadherent Patients
Shepherd Roee Singer, MD, MPH; Moshe Hoshen, PhD; Efrat Shadmi, PhD; Morton Leibowitz, MD; Natalie Flaks-Manov, MPH; Haim Bitterman, MD; and Ran D. Balicer, MD, PhD
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EMR-Based Medication Adherence Metric Markedly Enhances Identification of Nonadherent Patients

Shepherd Roee Singer, MD, MPH; Moshe Hoshen, PhD; Efrat Shadmi, PhD; Morton Leibowitz, MD; Natalie Flaks-Manov, MPH; Haim Bitterman, MD; and Ran D. Balicer, MD, PhD
Integration of written-prescription data into medication adherence measures doubled the number of patients identified as nonadherent and improved prediction of follow-up LDL cholesterol.
Objectives: To determine whether addition of written-prescription data to existing adherence measures improves identification of nonadherent patients and prediction of changes in low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol.

Study Design: Retrospective database analysis of all health plan members prescribed a statin in 2008 and followed through 2010.

Methods: We examined statin use in a 4-millionmember health plan with 100% electronic medical  record coverage. A novel type of medication possession ratio (MPR), integrating prescribed with dispensed medication data, was developed. This measure, MPRp, was compared with a standard dispensed-only adherence measure, MPRd. Adherence below 20% was considered nonadherence. The 2 adherence measures were compared regarding (1) the number of patients identified as nonadherent, (2) percent changes in LDL from study enrollment to study termination, and (3) receiver-operator curves assessing the association between adherence and a 24% decrease in LDL.

Results: A total of 67,517 patients received 1,386,270 written prescriptions over the 3-year period. MPRp identified 93% more patients as nonadherent than did MPRd (P <.001). These newly identified patients exhibited minimal LDL decreases over the course of the study. Adherence by MPRp was more strongly associated with decreases in LDL than was adherence by MPRd (area under the curve 0.815 vs 0.770; P <.001). During the study period, 18.2% of patients did not fill any prescriptions and were thus unidentifiable by dispensed-only measures.

Conclusions: Addition of written-prescription data to adherence measures identified nearly twice the number of nonadherent patients and markedly improved prediction of changes in LDL.

(Am J Manag Care. 2012;18(10):e372-e377)
Commonly used measures of medication adherence use only dispensed medication data. Attempts to integrate written-prescription data into these measures have been limited to “primary adherence” and have not been validated with respect to clinically important outcomes

  • Addition of written-prescription data to measures of adherence identified nearly twice as many nonadherent patients and markedly improved prediction of changes in low-density lipoprotein cholesterol.

  • Adding such measures to existing health records would identify a large proportion of patients prescribed but not procuring any medication, allowing for improved targeting of nonadherent populations.
Nonadherence to prescribed medication is a pervasive phenomenon, more common in chronic than in acute conditions.1 Poor adherence to medication regimens has been associated with poor medical outcomes over a range of diagnoses,2-6 and poor adherence to statins has been found to be associated with higher healthcare costs and cardiovascular hospitalizations.7-9 Clinicians and healthcare managers thus have a strong interest in accurately identifying poorly adherent patients. In the past 2 decades, estimating adherence in healthcare systems using administrative databases has become commonplace. Medication possession ratio (MPR) and related measures of medication availability are the most frequently used measures10; however, they are based almost exclusively upon dispensed-medication data. Patients never filling a prescription will be missed, and censoring follow-up at the time of the last refill may overlook periods during which physicians continued to prescribe but patients ceased to adhere. For a comprehensive overview of dispensary-based medication adherence measures, see Steiner and Prochazka.11

In recent years, several studies have attempted to integrate writtenprescription data into adherence measures. However, these have focused almost entirely upon primary nonadherence (failure to fill a first prescription for a new medication).12-15 Only a single study using written-prescription data looked past the initial dispensary event to calculate adherence over an extended period.16 Thus, the value of integrating written prescription–based data into medication adherence measures remains unclear.

Healthcare in Israel is delivered primarily through 4 nationwide health plans, which act both as providers and insurers to essentially the entire population and through which patients are guaranteed a legally mandated minimum package of medical services.17 Clalit Health Services (CHS), the largest of these plans, insures approximately 4 million people (53% of the Israeli population) and has comprehensive clinical and administrative electronic medical record coverage. Patients in CHS have a strong incentive to access primary care and obtain prescription medications within the Clalit system because primary care visits are free of charge to members, and medications included in the benefit package are subject to small copayments (approximately US $4-$7). Out-of-pocket quarterly outlays for chronic medications are capped at US $110 to $220, depending on the patient’s eligibility.

Our aim was to ascertain the utility of a novel medication adherence measure incorporating written-prescription data in identifying nonadherent patients and predicting clinically meaningful health outcomes in a large health plan database.



We performed a retrospective database analysis, including all patients 18 years and older enrolled in CHS who had not previously been dispensed a statin, had been

prescribed a statin at least once in 2008, had not since had chronic (mental, rehabilitation, or nursing home) hospitalization, and were alive on December 31, 2010. Patients were monitored for medication adherence between January 1, 2008, and December 31, 2010 (the study period), and were considered enrolled in the study from the date of the first statin prescribed in that period. CHS maintains an electronic medical record with demographic information, clinical information, and records of all medications dispensed since 1998 and of all medications prescribed by any community physician in the system since 2008.

We collected data on age, sex, socioeconomic status, concomitant medications in the month up to and including theday of study enrollment, the occurrence of an acute ischemic event in the year preceding study inclusion, statins prescribed, statins dispensed, the last low-density lipoprotein (LDL)cholesterol level available in the year before study inclusion (prestudy LDL), and the last LDL cholesterol level available at least 90 days after study inclusion but not more than 30 days after the final statin prescription (end-study LDL). All residents of Israel receive a universal identification number at birth or immigration. Each patient interaction with CHS is indexed by this number. Patient data for our study was linked by the universal identification number, but additional personal identifying information was not collected. In-hospital prescribing and dispensing data were not available for this study; however, days of acute hospitalization over the course of the study were tallied. The study was approved by the CHS institutional review board.

Measures of Medication Adherence

Adherence measures used in this study were modeled after the concept of MPR, although with the addition of writtenprescription data.10 We created an MPR-type measure integrating written-prescription data with dispensed data (MPRp) and compared it with a commonly used version of dispensedonly MPR (MPRd). MPRd was defined as the number of days of supply divided by the number of days between the day the first medication was dispensed and the day before the last medication was dispensed in the study period. MPRp was defined as the number of days of supply divided by the number of days between the day the first medication was prescribed and the day before the last medication was prescribed in the study period. MPRp thus reflects adherence over the period for which statins were known to be prescribed.

Study participation was calculated as the time between the first and the last prescribed statin in the study period. Any statin prescribed or dispensed was counted; thus, a change in type of statin was considered ongoing adherence, but a change to another lipid-lowering medication group terminated study participation. Patients with a single written prescription or single dispensed medication were assigned a 29-day study duration. Patients filling more medication than necessary to cover their entire study participation period were considered 100% adherent. MPR is reported as a percent score for each patient. In this study, patients with adherence below 20% were considered nonadherent, following the methodology of Insull et al.18

To ascertain whether patients identified as nonadherent by MPRp but not by MPRd indeed had undertreated hyperlipidemia, we calculated the fractional decrease in LDL (the percent change in LDL cholesterol from before study enrollment until the end of study participation) in those identified as nonadherent by MPRd and separately in those identified as nonadherent by MPRp but not by MPRd.

Given the known efficacy of statins in reducing LDL,19 a successful measure of statin adherence should demonstrate a strong association with patient LDL reductions. In order to compare the utility of MPRd with that of MPRp in predicting changes in LDL, we generated receiver operator characteristic (ROC ) curves. We considered a 24% or greater fractional drop in LDL as a clinically important decrease in LDL. This decrease is slightly smaller than that anticipated from full adherence to a variety of statins at low dosages (27%)19 and is double the National Cholesterol Education Program Working Group on Lipoprotein Measurement allowable total error of 12%20; thus, it is unlikely to be due to chance.

Sensitivity analysis was performed in several ways. First, we repeated the ROC analysis using cutoffs of 20% and 30% drops in LDL. To rule out a dominant effect of patients prescribed a statin only once or patients with short durations between the first and last statin prescribed, we repeated our analysis excluding patients whose study participation was 90 days or less, which also excluded those receiving a single written prescription. Additionally, we repeated ROC analysis excluding patients who were not dispensed any statin during the study period. Finally, ROC analysis was repeated including only patients with a prestudy LDL of 100 mg/dL or greater.

Statistical analysis was conducted using SPSS version 18.0.3 (IBM Corporation, Armonk, New York) and WIN-PEPI version 11.15 (freeware; pepi4windows.html). Averages for medication adherence were compared with the t test. Proportions of nonadherent patients by each measure were compared using χ2 test. Fractional differences in LDL were compared by analysis of variance. ROC curves were generated using standard methodology, and areas under the ROC curve were compared using the Hanley-McNeil method.21


A total of 67,517 members of CHS fulfilling all inclusion criteria received a total of 1,386,270 written prescriptions for a statin over the 3-year study period. The average age of the study population was 55.3 ± 12.9 years and 47.2% were male. Approximately half (47.6%) the patients were characterized as of low socioeconomic status. Patients took an average of 3.3 ± 2.9 distinct concomitant medications in the month up to and including the day of index prescribed statin. In the year before study enrollment, 3.7% of patients had sustained an acute coronary event. The average length of study participation was 692.8 ± 332.0 days. A total of 13,667 (20.2%) patients were hospitalized for a median of 4 days (interquartile range 2-8 days). The average number of acute hospitalization days for the whole study population was 1.5 (Table).

Average adherence was 59.0% as measured by MPRd and 50.9% as measured by MPRp. Thus, adherence as measured by MPRd was 15.9% higher than adherence as measured by MPRp (P <.001). A far higher proportion of patients were identified as nonadherent by MPRp than by MPRd (28.0% vs 14.5%, 93% more; P <.001). Whereas our entire study population was available for nonadherence analysis using MPRp, 12,291 patients (18.2% of our sample) were not available for analysis using MPRd because these patients filled no prescriptions during the study period (Figure 1).

A total of 49,325 patients (73.1% of our population) had both prestudy and poststudy LDL tests and were thus available for LDL analysis. The average prestudy LDL

for the entire study population was 151.4 ± 30.3 mg/dL and decreased to 111.4 ± 36.7 mg/dL at the end of the study, indicating a 25.1% fractional decrease in LDL. Patients identified as nonadherent by MPRd had an 8.2% drop in LDL (153.6 ± 29.4 mg/dL to 139.3 ± 35.1 mg/dL), while those identified as nonadherent by MPRp had only a 6.8% drop (149.6 ± 31.1 to 136.9 ± 35.1 mg/dL; P <.001). Thus, patients identified as nonadherent by MPRp were treated less effectively than those identified as nonadherent only by MPRd (P <.001).

The area under the curve for the ROC curve for MPRp as a predictor of a 24% decrease in LDL was 0.815 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.812-0.819), whereas that for MPRd was 0.770 (95% CI 0.765-0.774; P <.001 for the comparison), indicating that MPRp was a better predictor of LDL change than MPRd. In sensitivity analysis, area

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