Having highly fragmented ambulatory care and a usual provider of care outside the Veterans Health Administration increased the odds of hospitalization among veterans with diabetes.
Objectives: To determine whether having a usual provider of care (UPC) outside the Veterans Health Administration (VHA) and whether having highly fragmented care (regardless of the providers’ health system affiliations) increased the risk of hospitalization among veterans with diabetes.
Study Design: Retrospective dynamic cohort analysis of all veterans with diabetes 65 years and older enrolled nationally in both VHA and Medicare from 2005 to 2010, using VHA-Medicare linked data. We used 5 two-year study periods, assessing ambulatory care in the first year of each 2-year period and any hospitalization in the second year.
Methods: We used longitudinal generalized estimating equation models to test the associations of the affiliation (VHA vs non-VHA) of the UPC and the extent of fragmentation with hospitalization, adjusting for potential confounders. Highly fragmented care was defined as a reversed Bice-Boxerman Index of at least 0.85, which was equivalent to the 75th percentile.
Results: Having a UPC outside the VHA was associated with 11% increased odds of hospitalization (95% CI, 10%-12%). Having highly fragmented care was associated with 7% increased odds of hospitalization (95% CI, 6%-8%). Having both a UPC outside the VHA and highly fragmented care was associated with 19% increased odds of hospitalization (95% CI, 18%-20%).
Conclusions: Among veterans with diabetes enrolled in both VHA and Medicare, having both a UPC outside the VHA and highly fragmented care was associated with higher odds of hospitalization than either of these ambulatory patterns alone.
Am J Manag Care. 2021;27(4):In Press
In this national sample of veterans with diabetes:
Fragmented care in the ambulatory setting occurs when an individual’s care is distributed across multiple providers, with no single provider accounting for a substantial proportion of visits.1 Having more fragmented ambulatory care has been found to be associated with costly and potentially avoidable subsequent care, including higher rates of emergency department visits,1-4 higher rates of hospitalizations,1,2,5 and more unnecessary tests and procedures,6,7 compared with having less fragmented ambulatory care.
The Veterans Health Administration (VHA) offers an integrated system of care for eligible veterans, but even among VHA-enrolled veterans, most choose to receive health care outside the VHA. Among VHA patients 65 years and older, about 85% of total health care expenditures are paid for by private insurance, Medicare, or self-pay, with Medicare covering more than half the costs.8 Veterans who use both VHA and non-VHA providers are at increased risk of poorer outcomes such as worse glycemic control9 and hospitalizations and readmissions among veterans with congestive heart failure10 and stroke.11 However, such studies are often limited by the use of a dichotomous (VHA only vs both VHA and non-VHA) categorization. This oversimplification does not account for the extent of an individual patient’s fragmentation of care across providers, which may have its own significant effect on a patient’s outcomes.1
The objective of this study is to determine whether ambulatory care patterns are associated with the risk of subsequent hospitalization, considering 2 different measures of ambulatory care. We will consider the health system affiliation of the usual provider of care (UPC) (VHA or non-VHA), and we will also consider the extent to which care is spread (or fragmented) across all of a patient’s providers, regardless of health system affiliation. Using both VHA medical records and Medicare claims from 2004 to 2010, we will assess UPC and fragmentation separately and also consider interactions between them.
We conducted a retrospective dynamic cohort analysis of all veterans with diabetes 65 years and older enrolled nationally in both VHA and Medicare fee-for-service from 2005 to 2010, using VHA-Medicare linked data. We used 5 two-year study periods, measuring ambulatory care in the first year of each 2-year period (2005, 2006, 2007, 2008, and 2009) and any hospitalization in the second year (2006, 2007, 2008, 2009, and 2010). The study protocol was approved by the Institutional Review Board at the East Orange Veterans Affairs Medical Center.
A veteran was considered to have diabetes if they had at least 1 inpatient or 2 outpatient diabetes International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision diagnosis codes (250.xx) in the prior 24-month look-back period in either VHA or Medicare.12 To be included, veterans had to be enrolled in VHA, Medicare Part A, and Medicare Part B for both years in a given 2-year period. A veteran could contribute up to 5 two-year periods of data. Additional inclusion criteria included being alive on the first day of the outcome year and having at least 4 ambulatory care visits in the baseline year to ensure stability of the measure of fragmentation.5 Non–community-dwelling veterans, as determined by having hospital stays longer than 180 days, any hospice stays, or any skilled nursing stays, were excluded from the cohort.
Ambulatory Visits, UPC, and Fragmentation of Care
Ambulatory visits in VHA and Medicare were defined using a specific set of ambulatory evaluation and management (E&M) codes adapted from the Healthcare Effectiveness Data and Information Set (HEDIS).13 Ambulatory visits were restricted to E&M visits for adults that took place in an office setting or hospital-based clinic, excluding home visits and nursing home visits.1,3,6 Because the HEDIS definition of ambulatory visits does not include emergency department visits, we have not included it in our definition. We counted only 1 ambulatory visit per provider-beneficiary-date combination and excluded ambulatory visits for which the rendering provider was missing. Non-VHA providers are identified in Medicare claims using individual National Provider Index codes. In the VHA, providers are identified using
clinic stop codes.
The provider with the highest proportion of ambulatory care visits was classified as the UPC.14 UPC was further classified into 2 subcategories, based on whether the provider was inside or outside the VHA. If a veteran had an equal proportion of visits with 2 providers (1 inside the VHA and 1 outside), the UPC was randomly assigned to 1 of them. Approximately 5% (between 4.8% and 5.6% over the 5 years) of patients had an equal number of VHA and non-VHA usual providers and needed to be randomly assigned. The UPC could be either a generalist or a specialist physician.
Fragmentation was defined using the Bice-Boxerman Index (BBI),15 a validated1,2,5 measure of dispersion of ambulatory care that uses number of visits, number of unique providers, and the concentration of visits between providers in the following formula:
In this formula, ni is the number of visits per individual i, and p is the number of unique providers. Although this index was originally labeled as a measure of “continuity,” it actually measures more than consistency of care with a single provider; it captures both “dispersion” (the spread of a patient’s care across multiple providers) and “density” (the relative share of visits by each provider).16 It is highly correlated with other measures of continuity or fragmentation, such as the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index, the Usual Provider of Care Index, and the Sequential Continuity Index.14 For ease of interpretation, we inverted the continuous scale so that higher values (ranging from 0 to 1) corresponded to more fragmentation (reversed BBI, or rBBI).
Other measures during each baseline year included age, gender, comorbid condition burden measured using the Charlson-Deyo Comorbidity Index (CCI),17,18 marital status (married, unmarried, and all other), and VHA priority status. The VHA assigns veterans to priority groups based on the extent of service-connected disability and income.19 Diabetes severity was captured using the Diabetes Complications Severity Index (DCSI) score, which has been adapted for use with administrative data diagnosis codes.20
A single binary dependent variable was used to represent the first acute hospitalization (yes/no) over 5 years (2006-2010), using data from VHA and Medicare inpatient files.
The 2 independent variables (UPC and fragmentation) were measured for each veteran for each baseline year (2005, 2006, 2007, 2008, and 2009). In each baseline year, we dichotomized fragmentation into high (≥ 0.85) vs low (< 0.85), using the 75th percentile of rBBI from the first baseline year as the cut point. We also combined UPC and fragmentation to divide veterans into 4 groups for each baseline year: group 1 (low fragmentation with a VHA UPC), group 2 (high fragmentation with a VHA UPC), group 3 (low fragmentation with a non-VHA UPC), and group 4 (high fragmentation with a non-VHA UPC).
We used descriptive statistics to characterize veterans in each 2-year study period. We also summarized ambulatory utilization. We compared the characteristics of those with high vs low fragmentation using t tests for continuous variables and χ2 tests for dichotomous variables.
We used generalized estimating equations (GEE) models to assess the association between the 2 variables of interest (high vs low fragmentation and whether the UPC was a VHA or a non-VHA provider) in the baseline year and hospitalization in the subsequent year. We generated 3 separate models. Model 1 used fragmentation (high vs low) as the exposure, without including UPC in the model. Model 2 used UPC (VHA vs non-VHA) as the exposure, without including fragmentation in the model. Model 3 used the 4-group variable as the exposure. All models adjusted for age, gender, marital status, VHA priority status, DCSI score, and CCI score and accounted for clustering because veterans could appear across multiple years. We chose an unstructured correlation structure for the models because we have 5 time points and guidelines suggest that with 5 or fewer time points, this option produces the most stable estimates.21
We conducted a sensitivity analysis using Cox proportional hazards models to assess time to first acute hospitalization as the outcome. Patients were censored if they died, or at the end of the outcome year. Proportional hazard assumptions were checked using Schoenfeld residuals. To confirm the robustness of our findings, we also conducted sensitivity analyses stratified by diabetes severity (DCSI score) and, separately, by comorbidity burden (CCI score).
The cohort of VHA enrollees with diabetes increased over the 5-year period from 492,479 veterans in 2005 to 532,123 in 2009. In 2005, 98% were male, as expected; 87% were White; 8%, Black; and 4%, of Hispanic ethnicity; the mean (SD) age was 75 (5.5) years. The mean (SD) CCI score was 3.4 (2.1), 86% had at least 1 diabetes complication, and 25% were moderately or severely disabled and 30% had very low income according to VHA priority group (Table 1).
As expected, the cohort was aging over time, with 10.0% being 85 years and older in 2009 compared with 4.6% in 2005. Diabetes severity increased slightly, with 32% having 3 or more complications in 2009 vs 30% in 2005. CCI scores decreased over time (31% with a score of 1 in 2009 compared with 22% in 2005), possibly because of the entry into the cohort of veterans with recently diagnosed diabetes and fewer comorbidities (Table 1).
Ambulatory Care Utilization and Provider Characteristics
In unadjusted analysis, 167,286 (34%) of the veterans in 2005 had high fragmentation (rBBI ≥ 0.85). The majority (70%) of veterans had a non-VHA UPC. In 2005, veterans had an average of 15 visits (4 [27%] of which were in VHA) among 6 providers (2 [33%] in VHA), with the UPC accounting for an average of 44% of all visits. Patterns differed significantly between veterans with high and low fragmentation. Veterans with high fragmentation had an average of 17 visits (5 [29%] in VHA) among 8 providers (3 [38%] in VHA), with the UPC accounting for only 27% of total visits, compared with those with low fragmentation, who had an average of 14 visits (4 [29%] in VHA) among 5 providers (2 [40%] in VHA), with the UPC accounting for more than 50% of total visits. eAppendix Table 1, eAppendix Figure 1, and eAppendix Figure 2 show ambulatory patterns for all years from 2005 to 2009 (eAppendix available at ajmc.com).
Of the total veterans in 2005, 19% were in group 1 (low fragmentation with a VHA UPC), 10% were in group 2 (high fragmentation with a VHA UPC), 47% were in group 3 (low fragmentation with a non-VHA UPC), and 24% were in group 4 (high fragmentation with a non-VHA UPC).
Rates of Hospitalization
Table 2 shows that between 27% and 29% of veterans had at least 1 hospitalization in the outcome year between 2005 and 2009. There was a significantly higher proportion of veterans hospitalized in the high vs low fragmentation groups in all years. Separately, having a non-VHA UPC was associated with significantly higher rates of hospitalization compared with having a VHA UPC (Table 2).
Association Between Fragmentation and Hospitalization
Using the GEE models, model 1 revealed that veterans with high fragmentation had 7% higher odds (adjusted odds ratio [AOR], 1.07; 95% CI, 1.06-1.08) of being hospitalized compared with those with low fragmentation, after adjustment for age, gender, marital status, VHA priority status, DCSI score, and CCI score (Table 3). This model did not include UPC as a variable.
Association Between Location of UPC and Hospitalization
Model 2 revealed that veterans with a non-VHA UPC had 11% higher odds of hospitalization (AOR, 1.11; 95% CI, 1.10-1.12) compared with those with a VHA UPC, after adjustment for age, gender, marital status, VHA priority status, DCSI score, and CCI score. This model did not include fragmentation as a variable.
Impact of Interaction of Fragmentation and UPC on Hospitalization
The interaction between the extent of fragmentation and the location of the UPC was significant (P < .0001).
Model 3, which included the 4-level exposure variable of high and low fragmentation and VHA vs non-VHA UPC, demonstrated a statistically significant incremental increase in odds of hospitalization compared with the reference group (veterans with a VHA UPC and low fragmentation). Compared with the reference group (group 1), the odds of hospitalization increased to an AOR of 1.11 (95% CI, 1.10-1.13)for those with high fragmentation index and VHA UPC (group 2), AOR of 1.13 (95% CI, 1.12-1.14) for those with low fragmentation and a non-VHA UPC (group 3), and AOR of 1.19 (95% CI, 1.18-1.20) for those with both high fragmentation index and non-VHA UPC (group 4) (Table 3).
Applying Cox proportional hazard models (eAppendix Table 2) corroborated the findings described above, with high fragmentation associated with an increased adjusted hazard of hospitalization (HR, 1.06; 95% CI, 1.05-1.07). Having a non-VHA provider as the UPC resulted in an increased hazard of hospitalization (HR, 1.10; 95% CI, 1.09-1.10). Using the combined 4-category variable, the results were similar. However, because the sensitivity analyses using Cox models did not satisfy the proportional hazards assumption, these results can only be interpreted as an “average hazard ratio” over a 1-year follow up period.
When we stratified results by diabetes severity, the main findings of the study were observed within each level of diabetes severity (eAppendix Table 3). Separately, when we stratified results by CCI scores, the main findings were observed within each level of CCI scores (eAppendix Table 4).
In this cohort of veterans 65 years and older with diabetes who use VHA and Medicare, high fragmentation of ambulatory care and having a non-VHA UPC in the baseline year were each associated with higher odds of hospitalization. Veterans with both high fragmentation and a non-VHA UPC had the highest odds of hospitalization compared with all other combinations of fragmentation level and UPC affiliation. These results suggest that the extent of ambulatory care fragmentation and the setting of the UPC each make independent contributions to the odds of hospitalization.
Some literature has focused on the differences between users who use both VHA and non-VHA providers (mainly Medicare) compared with those who use the VHA only; however, the results are mixed for the different types of outcomes studied.9,22,23 Another study looked at VA/private dual use among veterans with diabetes, stratified by whether care by private providers was for specialty care or for primary care; that study showed a beneficial effect on preventable hospitalizations when care by private providers was for specialty services and no effect when they were for primary care services.24 To our knowledge, our study is the first to tease apart the affiliation of the UPC from the extent of fragmentation overall.
The 2 groups with the lowest odds of hospitalization both had a UPC at the VHA. This finding could be because the VHA is an integrated delivery system25 with a single electronic health record that enables information continuity across providers and sites.26,27 However, the finding that, among those with a VHA UPC, having more fragmented care was associated with a higher risk of hospitalization compared with having less fragmented care is novel.
Strengths and Limitations
The study has numerous strengths. It uses the entire population of older Medicare-enrolled VHA users with diabetes over a 6-year period, representing one of the largest samples of patients with diabetes. Our use of the VHA and Medicare data ensures the most complete administrative data set possible and captures all hospitalizations. By utilizing 5 cohorts over the 6-year period, we were able to show consistency of our results over time. We also used previously validated measures of fragmentation of care and applied robust statistical analysis.
This study has several limitations. First, because it is observational, we cannot infer causality and cannot rule out the presence of unmeasured confounders. It uses administrative data records, which could result in incomplete recording or miscoding of comorbidities. Second, we cannot determine the appropriateness of the hospital admissions. Third, although we excluded individuals with prolonged hospitalizations (> 180 days), we did not account for prior hospitalization, in part because of the dynamic cohort design. Fourth, for VHA services, fragmentation was potentially partially obscured by the use of clinic stop codes to capture providers, which may have the effect of counting multiple providers in the same clinic as 1 “provider” for this analysis. This limitation would cause us to underestimate the extent of fragmentation. Finally, this study uses data through 2010, which preceded the passage of the Choice Act of 201428,29 and the MISSION Act of 2018,30,31 which are legislative initiatives designed to make it easier for veterans to seek care outside the VHA at the VHA’s expense. From fiscal year (FY) 2014 to FY 2018, the number of individual veterans using community care increased from 1.3 million to 1.8 million, with the latter number equivalent to 30% of all veterans accessing VHA health care services that year.32 From FY 2014 to FY 2018, VHA spending on community care increased from $8.2 billion to $14.9 billion (an 82% increase), and that figure is expected to reach $17.8 billion in FY 2021.32 Although we cannot be sure that this represents an overall increase in the number of providers engaged in the care of these veterans, the magnitude of the increases suggests this and, from the perspective of the VHA, highlights the issue of fragmentation of care. Thus, it will be important for the VHA to continue to monitor the impact of fragmentation of care on hospitalization and cost in the era of the Choice and MISSION Acts, and our results can serve as a baseline for those future analyses.
Among veterans with diabetes, having highly fragmented health care in one year was associated with 11% increased odds of hospitalization in the following year. Separately, having a non-VHA UPC one year was associated with 7% increased odds of hospitalization in the following year. Having both highly fragmented care and a non-VHA UPC one year was associated with 19% increased odds of hospitalization in the following year. The magnitude of this effect and the presence of this interaction indicate that where veterans seek care and how diffusely their care is delivered both matter. Future studies should apply the methods used in this study to understand whether this problem is exacerbated in the context of legislative initiatives that are likely to increase the fragmentation of care for veterans.
Author Affiliations: Department of Veterans Affairs–New Jersey Health Care System (MRa, DH, MRo, DF), East Orange, NJ; Department of Medicine, Weill Cornell Medicine (MRa, LMK), New York, NY; Center for Innovations in Quality, Effectiveness, and Safety (IQuESt), Michael E. DeBakey VA Medical Center (DH), Houston, TX; Rutgers University School of Public Health (DF), Piscataway, NJ.
Source of Funding: This material is based upon work supported by the Department of Veterans Affairs, Veterans Health Administration, Office of Research and Development, Health Services Research and Development Service (VA HSRD IIR 12-401) with resources and the use of facilities at the VA–New Jersey Health Care System, East Orange, NJ. The views expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the position or policy of the Department of Veterans Affairs or the United States government.
Author Disclosures: Dr Fried has applied for grant funding related to care fragmentation. Dr Kern is a consultant to Mathematica and Partners Healthcare and has received a grant from the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute. The remaining authors report no relationship or financial interest with any entity that would pose a conflict of interest with the subject matter of this article.
Authorship Information: Concept and design (MRa, DH, MRo, DF, LMK); acquisition of data (MRa, DH, MRo, DF); analysis and interpretation of data (MRa, DH, MRo, DF, LMK); drafting of the manuscript (MRa, DH, DF); critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content (DH, MRo, DF, LMK); statistical analysis (MRa, DH, MRo, DF); obtaining funding (DH); administrative, technical, or logistic support (DH, MRo); and supervision (DH).
Address Correspondence to: Mangala Rajan, MBA, Weill Cornell Medicine, 420 E 70th St, Room LH-348, New York, NY 10021. Email: firstname.lastname@example.org.
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